Video: How Juries Are Fooled By Statistics
I remember reading Nassim Taleb’s, Fooled By Randomness, in which he presents a statistical analysis of the OJ Simpson trial. I won’t go into the details, but I have to say, I am worried about living in a society in which juries can be fooled by statistics. Here is a video via Ted talks on a similar concept of probabilities and the legal system.
Video Introduction (Via Ted)
Oxford mathematician Peter Donnelly reveals the common mistakes humans make in interpreting statistics — and the devastating impact these errors can have on the outcome of criminal trials.
Speaker Background (Via Ted)
Peter Donnelly applies statistical methods to real-world problems, ranging from DNA analysis (for criminal trials), to the treatment of genetic disorders. A mathematician who collaborates with biologists , he specializes in applying probability and statistics to the field of genetics, in hopes of shedding light on evolutionary history and the structure of the human genome.
The Australian-born, Oxford-based mathematician is best known for his work in molecular evolution (tracing the roots of human existence to their earliest origins using the mutation rates of mitochondrial DNA). He studies genetic distributions in living populations to trace human evolutionary history — an approach that informs research in evolutionary biology, as well as medical treatment for genetic disorders.